Efficient Prop Markets

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Player Prop Markets

It’s no secret that player props are the preferred bet type of gamblers these days. Rec players love betting on players succeeding, while pro bettors cleaned up on these inefficient markets.

There has been a significant shift in these markets, particularly in major sports. Props went from one of the easiest markets to beat to an efficient market.

As sportsbooks began to see more handle on prop bets, they had to do a better job of pricing these bets. So, which sportsbook is most efficient in pricing player props?

Market Efficiency

For years, the sports betting landscape had a handful of sharp books that other sportsbooks copied their lines from. These sharp books had the highest limits on game line bets, would take sharp action, and move the number without limiting anyone.

While pros certainly still bet props, limits were lower, and it led to losing accounts more quickly. However, with recreational bettors eager to bet on props, sportsbooks took notice, and the usual suspects are no longer the sharp books.

Explore all player prop research tools for sports betting.

FanDuel is dominating the North American sports betting market. Part of this domination means catering to the broadest audience of sports bettors, i.e., offering and taking bets on an increasing number of player props.

Considering their popularity and customer base, it makes sense that FanDuel has upped its player prop game and is one of the more efficient books with its player prop lines.

While it may take some digging and backtesting to pinpoint which markets per sport FanDuel is the sharpest in, the fact of the matter is that they are more of a source of truth than some “sharper” sportsbooks in these markets.

This comes with some caveats. FanDuel often offers one-way markets for props. For example, FanDuel can offer Aaron Judge +200 to hit a home run, but they will not offer odds for Judge not to hit a home run.

This allows FanDuel to gouge on pricing. They have massive holds since they are already sharper in the market, and they are not susceptible to being backdoor since they do not have a “no home run” bet.

Finding the right sportsbooks to devig from in the right markets is essential for betting player props. Price rules everything, and be wary of one-way markets, especially on sharper books.

Let’s Get This Straight

Every week, we dissect a relevant sports betting topic to determine its validity.

The Dog Days of Summer is a Myth

Everyone loves to act like there is nothing to bet on in the Summer. Yes, there are not nearly as many sports on as there are in the Fall & Winter, but it’s still a good time for bettors.

Here’s the reality:
You can make money from sports betting in the Summer.

Yes, the betting menu is smaller, and yes, there could be fewer +EV spots, but that does not mean they do not exist.

With baseball, tennis, golf, soccer, WNBA, CFL, and even NBA Summer League, the Summer is a prime time for sports bettors.

These less efficient markets actually give bettors an edge. Limits may be lower, but in harder-to-price sports, there is more opportunity for higher expected value or higher ROI arbitrage opportunities.

The smaller betting menu enables sportsbooks to allocate more resources to specific markets, but, generally speaking, bettors have a bigger edge in smaller markets. Assuming a bettor can find an edge in the MLS or the WNBA, the “dog days of Summer” can be a money printer.

Most people prefer the beach, but those who would rather grind EV, there are more than enough chances to do both all Summer long.

Featured Tool Spotlight: Props.Cash

Every week, we highlight one of our featured tools that are making our readers better and more profitable sports bettors.

Props.Cash is a player prop research tool that takes prop research to a deeper level. With advanced stats, filters for customization, line shopping, projections, and more, it’s an elite tool for player prop betting.

Read our full review of Props.Cash.

What separates Props.Cash from other prop tools is that it empowers users with its clean interface, detailed data, and projection model. The data is actionable, and it looks as clean as can be.

Props.Cash is a staple for betting on sports this summer. With data for the MLB and the WNBA, save yourself time and maximize your profitability with Props.Cash.

For 30% off your first month, use code BETSMART at checkout.